3. The monetary policy has shifted from steady to moderately loose, which has been mentioned again since 2011. I don't need to say much, but this is expected, and it hasn't landed yet, and the above supplement is to keep the bottom line of systemic risk, so it won't be like the previous flood irrigation, at least in 2014. Leveraged cattle should be difficult to reproduce.First of all, the policy combination boxing includes not only monetary policy, but also fiscal policy. Some brokers have predicted that deficit ratio will increase from 3% to 4%. Of course, this needs to be verified later. It's just that fiscal stimulus is a moderate rhythm of releasing water, not to mention that it hasn't been introduced yet, at least don't expect this batch of funds to flow into A shares quickly.1. This time, boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand are put in the first place, which is basically consistent with the official media preheating. But I emphasized this piece yesterday. It's not that everyone doesn't want to spend, but that they don't have money to spend. It depends on whether the money issued by the special national debt can be cashed in, which will benefit big consumption in the short term, but the overall increase of this piece is really not small. Don't blindly chase after it.
Hong Kong stocks are mainly led by brokerage insurance, interior housing, consumption, technology and Internet giants. Today, under the A-share mapping, the above direction deserves special attention. However, I would like to remind you that after reading yesterday's resumption of trading, many small tickets and low-priced stocks that have been sizzled recently have shown signs of decline, so the way to break the position is to go on rallies, and the style switch behind should be a high probability event.Secondly, the status of the stock market has obviously risen, but the last 500 billion swap facility+300 billion loan repurchase just pulled the index to 3509 points. This time, the expectation lies in the medium and long term. In addition to fighting chicken blood in the short term, it is not as effective as the substantial payment in early November. Don't rush to chase after it.In another case, if it opens higher and goes lower today, and the closing price does not exceed 3470.66 points, then the short-term estimate will continue to step back and digest. On the contrary, this situation is a good thing. We only need to deal with it with high throwing and low sucking, and then we will have a real acceleration cycle after we gain momentum again.
Finally, the statement of the property market still reiterates "promoting the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize", and there may not be much unexpected things coming out. This is to remind everyone. There is a high probability that the interest rate will continue to be lowered, so the RRR cut should be on the way.First of all, the policy combination boxing includes not only monetary policy, but also fiscal policy. Some brokers have predicted that deficit ratio will increase from 3% to 4%. Of course, this needs to be verified later. It's just that fiscal stimulus is a moderate rhythm of releasing water, not to mention that it hasn't been introduced yet, at least don't expect this batch of funds to flow into A shares quickly.On the weekend, the official media continued to warm up. Yesterday, A shares were tepid, and they were even maliciously smashed in the afternoon! As a result, after the close of trading, there was a favorable level of king explosion. At least the periphery has gone crazy, so how will A shares go today? How should we deal with it?
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13